2012-11-01
2012-11-30
x cleveland
x iowa

STATION
MSNBC 16
MSNBCW 14
CNN 10
CNNW 9
CSPAN 4
KQED (PBS) 4
WHUT (Howard University Television) 4
KGO (ABC) 3
WETA 3
WJLA 3
WMAR (ABC) 3
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English 104

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of these states, in particular in iowa and nevada, democrats have it locked up with early vote. in ohio they have a good position with early vote, but it depends on who turns out. republicans are coming out in big numbers in the rural areas, and the question i think for democrats is, how do we do in those urban areas, it particular the top ten counties? the thing i would like to stress is, you know, when you have an election that is this close and it's pretty obvious to say that the obvious, but it is going to be turnout, and democrats have got to be really focused and that is individual democrats coming out to vote. do not believe that this thing is over by any stretch of the imagination. this is going to be a very tight election. >> who doesn't believe that at this point, chris? >> you know, i sometimes hear when i see these pundits talk about their forecasts about what the election is going to be, i get it. if you look at the real clear politics averages, you can make that prediction. i'll make that prediction and think president obama will win. when you have so many polls clustered around the

votes for sure and he'll probably get in nevada which is six votes, that brings him to 243 votes. if he picked up ohio, then he would have, i think, 261 votes. he would need only nine more votes to climb the presidency. ohio is always important, especially to republicans, i'd say, this year more important than ever. >> we've been talking to voters in all states as they've left the polls today. anthony mason is in the exiting poll information. what did the voters in ohio say? >> the battleground states. the polls have closed, all three of them still right here in the middle in the toss-up column. we want to turn our eyes to ohio and the 18 electoral votes as we've been talking about. look in ohio, it makes up a quarter of the electorate there. john mccain and barack obama just about split this vote. romney has slightly a better advantage, but again, very close. we asked the white working class voters who's more in touch with people like you? again, tight. but asked as who would do a better job with the economy? romney has a big advantage. 53% to 44%. these are white working class voters

the president will carry nevada. some republicans push back but let's give nevada to the president. hypothetical here, folks. that would put the president at 243 to 206. you need 270 to win. let's see if romney can find the magic to get to 270. the state of iowa, the president will end there. that's his final rally. the president with a lead there. it's small. the romney campaign says it's still in play but the president has consistently led by a small margin. you will see more and more of that across the midwest. you mentioned governor romney going to cleveland tomorrow. let's look at the latest polling in ohio. no republican ever won the white house without it. mathematically can he get there without it, yes. is it probable, no. here's the latest poll of polls. cnn putting together the average of seven public polls, 50-47. so a very competitive race but again, the president has consistently been ahead by a couple in ohio. governor romney needs to win on the ground and win big on the ground tomorrow to carry that state. in a close election like this, sometimes the little guys matter. new hampsh

this early vote has turned out. look at this. colorado, 77% has already voted. nevada. 72%. north carolina, 63% has already voted. in florida 53%. iowa 44%. and ohio 31%. john dickerson and i were talking about this earlier today. we could have most of the results already by the people that have come out early and that's why the campaigns spent so much time on getting out the vote early, this ground game on these early votes. >> pelley: we'll come back to you early and often. john dickerson is our cbs news political director. john is going to be showing us the various ways that the candidates can get to the 270 electoral votes necessary to twin presidency. john? >> well, first, scott, let's follow up on what bob was saying. we're going to dispatch with 41 of the states, the majority of the country cbs estimates based on the polling that those states are either going to go to barack obama or to mitt romney. that gives barack obama a start where he's likely to get 237 electoral votes, mitt romney is likely to get 191 electoral votes. so here we are at the beginning of the evening, nothing ha

, this is without nevada, this puts him at 271, this what is they believe is their fastest, most narrowest path. now, why is romney doing what he's doing with florida today? virginia. don't forget north carolina is one that they're counting on. new hampshire and then ohio. because ohio, look at that, it's right on the number. if all the states he visits today he carries, that's what he's doing. both of them are visiting, andrea, their narrowest paths to 270. i took you to the 271 path for the president, and then you saw the 270 path if you will for romney. now everything in between, what's a great night for the president, take you to that quickly. that would mean, winning ohio, but the one state i think they feel the least bit about is in north carolina. leave florida in romney's column. i think ultimately this is what we're looking at. something right in the 300 range is most realistic good night for the president. you go to mitt romney and what they think their most realistic be good night and why you see he has a little higher ceiling, bring these states back, virginia, iowa, which by the way i t

of the hour we'll take you to nevada and wisconsin. first, back to sole dad. >>> at the end of the day, it's all going to be about the math. in order to win, you have to hit the magic number of 270 electoral votes. let's get to christine romans who is crunching the numbers. >> the rose to 270. what if it were a draw at 269? it's possible. there are four 269 scenarios. statistically, there are 120 different scenarios. four with the swing states. this is hypothetical, remember. the map is assuming that states that are actually leaning go in the direction that they're leaning right now. wisconsin, ohio, and new hampshire, new hampshire with the four electoral votes, if they go for obama and romney wins nevada, colorado, iowa, virginia, and the 29 over there in florida, then you're at a tie. worst nightmare for both parties. 269 each. now a note for iowa here, this is assuming it goes red, it goes for romney with the six electoral votes. recent polls there showing a slight lead, actually, for obama. if wisconsin and ohio vote democrat, you know, technically you could think -- you could conclud

that pattern play out in the other swing states, too, like nevada, virginia, wisconsin. so the republicans are trying to make up ground. in florida we're seeing this because republican leaders are on a two-day bus tour promoting early voting. here is romney florida campaign chairman adam putnam. >> we want to drive people to the polls in every conceivable form. we want oh to be there on tuesday and early votes and we want to open that gap back up. >> jennifer: but if it doesn't work, the romney campaign might have a backup plan of playing dirty. for voters who show up without a photo i.d. even though there is no photo i.d. law in iowa nevertheless they're showing poll watchers this training video. >> first, there may be an incidence where the voter fails to show voter i.d. and they are still allowed to vote. use the alert button so they can handle problems and they can get back to helping voters. >> jennifer: if you can't beat them, join them. this is scary stuff and it's also a sign that they're getting desperate. for a perspective of early voting and last-minute polling tricks i'm here w

: what about early voting in nevada? >> both colorado and nevada are early voting states. 80% of registered voters are vote. 56%, nevada. the gop is battling harry reid's political machine. a growing population has a voting edge of -- voting edge of 90,000. despite obama's 2-point statewide lead they can make it up in reno and democratic turnout, early voting is down 5 points over 2008. martha: thanks, william. bill: we heard for several years that the economy is issue number one for you at home. if that's the case, how does this race break today? fair and balanced debate on that in a moment. martha: a handful of swing states that will likely determine the outcome of this election. which states fall into that category and why? bill: the race seems to be tightening by the day. why does one political analyst predict a landslide. >> you watched what happened in this country the last four years with an interview. you hope that president obama would live up with his promise to bring people together, to solve the big problems. he hasn't. i will. [cheers and applause] but don't just

, turnout is crucial. >> turnout has been crucial for three weeks. in other words, in colorado, nevada, north carolina, it may have been crucial before today, but on election day, as nancy mentioned in her piece, republicans have to turn their base out. >> stay with us, we'll be speaking with both campaigns this morning. we begin with david axelrod. david, good morning. >> good morning, charlie. happy election day. >> well, thank you. happy election day to you and everybody else in the great state of illinois. so tell me what it is that's most crucial today for you to win. >> well, you've been using the word, which is turnout. we've been expecting a close election for a year and a half. we've built a tremendous organization. we've got 200,000 or more election shifts volunteers set up. we've got 5,000 stations in neighborhoods across the battleground states. and now it's time to turn out that vote. and that's what this election is going to be about. we are happy about those early vote numbers. those early vote numbers are very significant. we go in with a great advantage. >> one thing t

marquez is in las vegas, nevada. ed lavandera is in denver, colorado, for us this morning. john zarrella comes to us live from plantation, florida. we want to begin with complete comprehensive coverage with john berman checking in to see how our correspondents are faring. >> thanks, soledad. the candidates are all over the place today. president obama and mitt romney hold atriallies in seven states today. a final frenetic day of campaigning across the battleground. for the president, he begins in wisconsin, a state that has voted true blue since 1984 but it is almost always close. and with paul ryan a native wisconsin son on the republican ticket, the obama team is taking no chances. they've called in the cavalry to help, including the boss, bruce springsteen to seal the deal. dan lothian is live in madison, wisconsin. good morning, dan. >> good morning, and you're right, bruce springsteen will be warming up the crowd here with a 30-minute concert before the president comes out. the campaign has been using these big names not only to draw in big audiences, but also to energize them. i ca

nevada, those four states, romney could win with pennsylvania and then the other swing states. >> virginia -- >> and florida. it's not his best -- it's not where he would want to be at this point in the campaign. but looking at where the polls have been in ohio all year, i think they think it's worth a shot. >> you think it makes a difference on the last day, the day people are voting for a candidate to show up in pennsylvania and ohio? >> here's the thing about that. in those other states, early voting is well under way and most of each sides' votes have already been banked. pennsylvania doesn't have a big early voting program. so everyone that's going to vote in pennsylvania is going to vote on tuesday. so he might think, maybe this is my chance, i have a captive audience there because obama hasn't been there much. and i've got more votes that are available to me in pennsylvania. >> we're all spending so much time thinking about ohio. but is there another state you're looking at closely right now? >> the thing i'm looking at is some of these states where hispanics are a risi

radio for the rest of the day but i have been on the ground in nevada, colorado, iowa florida, north carolina virginia pennsylvania, ohio, and i think that's it, but making a loop, kind of like that lady at the airport in the white zone kind of thing just making the loop. [ laughter ] >> stephanie: you know interesting you used the phrase about pundits like to create drama. alfre woodard is paid to create drama. i literally tuned in this morning and somebody saying if the black turnout isn't the same, won't we be able to say tomorrow -- they're creating story lines that haven't happened to try to create this narrative. >> caller: they are and they do the narratives that mitt romney was surging in the polls after surging in anybody's mind after that first sort debate. it has to be that or else they're out of work. they get excited and they have their own world that they do together but the truth is people know what it is. they know that when those guys say they're going to on day one start taking apart the affordable care act when he won't even comment on the led bedder for fair pay.

quite well in the polls coming in the southwest, as well, new mexico, nevada and colorado. >> the democrats have always believed that you have to enlarge the electorate. you have to reach out to women. you have to reach out to minorities. but more importantly, i wanted to bring this in. in 1992 in the bill clinton campaign, the white electorate, 87%, by 2000 for al gore, 81%. today, in the 2008 campaign, 74% of the electorate and today, 72%. so it's declining, the minority population is increasing. >> okay, i want to go now and give you a projection. it is north carolina coming in for governor romney. again, we had seen him a bit ahead there and there it is, it is a switch, of course, president obama won it narrowly back in 2008 but now it goes to governor romney. >> this was not a state that president obama was counting on but certainly one they were hoping for because they had invested so much time. >> convention. >> in that ground game in north carolina, also having the convention at charlotte but it was not to be. governor romney holding on to that state tonight and lo

. >> and i have nevada in there. you live on the border of nevada and california. demographically gone for the republicans right now? >> this is a state that republicans should have won if we had the same hispanic turnout of the vote percentage under president bush, under john mccain. mitt romney would be ahead in nevada. it's not the case. president obama is going to win nevada. >> anybody here think the president will lose iowa? >> i think he's going to win iowa. and i changed my opinion on that. i thought he was going to lose iowa. >> you believe iowa. where do you fall? >> the president. >> look what this does here. this puts -- we put it up to 259 so th so then he's is 11 away. anybody thinks he's going to win florida? so you give romney this, florida. colorado, i think it will be the closest state in the country. >> i agree. >> where does it go? >> romney. >> romney wins. >> really close but romney. >> it might all come down to ohio. >> it may. and virginia we have sitting he here. so this could mean to me as a realistic scenario and i won't make you force these, hiohio, virginia

think we're going to win iowa, wisconsin, we're going to win nevada, we're going to win new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. >> don't just vote. bring your mom. bring your dad. bring your cousin. knock on the door of your neighbor. because let me tell you something, the middle class depends on it. it literally depends on it. >> the vice president took on mitt romney's latest lie about jeep sending jobs to china. >> scare the hell -- scare the heck out of these people and it's flat false. absolutely flat fall. it's the most cynical play i've seen and, you know, there is an editorial in the denver post saying this goes to character. it's not just a lie, but it goes to character. >> while most of the attention is on ohio, a record breaking crowd gathered in concord, new hampshire. president obama was joined by one of the best retail politicians in the business. former president bill clinton. >> 20 years and nine months ago, new hampshire began the chance for me to become president. i have worked very hard in this campaign

. they look at iowa, they look at wisconsin nevada and new hampshire and they think those states are in their column. they're incredibly confident as of this moment that they look at ohio and that's the next highest level of confidence they have what mark said is right. they feel the bain ads did damage to romney. we're going to look back one day on the fact that governor romney wrote his op-ed in the "new york times" that said "let detroit go bankrupt." he wrote that op-ed in november of 2008 right at the endof -- right after the presidential campaign in 2008, long before he was an announced candidate and it could been the most important thing to his detriment that he did. he did it almost four years ago but it's been very hard for him to overcome that. it's also the case that ohio is different in the sense that the white working class voters in ohio are more unionized than any other state in the country and what we're seeing across the midwest is that white working class voters in the northwest the rust belt are just different in terms of their attitude towards president obama

importante hablar, en nevada, iowa, wisconsin, michigan, pensilvania, y new hamshire. visitÓ el candidato republicano tratando de emparejar respuestas. 4 estados, miles de millones de dÓlares gastados, y colorado importante y florida, por el nÚmero de hispanos y definir por nivel local y nacional, y virginia con un porcentaje de alrededor de 3%, estamos hablando de ohio, cien mil votos, y hamilton y Áreas urbanas, y cincinnati, y cleveland, cien mil votos que marcarÁn la diferencia en la elecciÓn del 2012. >>> se explica 80 visitas de dos candidatos safari. >>> sÍ, en vigirnia, florida, iowa. >>> hace 4 aÑos obama ganÓ en carolina del norte por 14 mil votos, y mÁs de 40 mil hispanos votaron. >>> gracias. >>> nos vemos maÑana. >>> quizÁ no estÉ lejos el dÍa que todos los norteamericalos voten por internet desde sus hogares, la tormenta sandy obligÓ que se ponga a prueba de manera adelantada, el cambio histÓrico, nayeli explica quÉ otros medios se utilizarÁn para votar en zonas afectadas. >>> llegaran las mÁquinas para votar en esta escuela. >>> estamos para que todo el mu

: colorado, florida, ohio, new hampshire, north carolina, michigan, nevada, pennsylvania, virginia, and wisconsin. bob, i point out dana referenced a column, who thinks it will be 315 to 223 for obama and rollins was in the green room and he said he is the best in the business and he has never gotten it wrong. what do you make of that prediction in bob: it is significant. but he has gotten it wrong a few times. if i were in, and he is doing what he is doing, now, he clearly has a side and i would look at the happy side, the happy side from my side and right now obama is ahead in eight of the 11 target points. >> but democrats trail in target states i mentioned but especially virginia, ohio, iowa and nevada. early absentee voting is not where it was for democrats in 2008. >> we had a thing back and forth and every single one of these is a toss up. each one. including pennsylvania. but, tomorrow, mitt romney 8 be in virginia, virginia, ohio, and new hampshire. look at states, and he has virginia, he has to work on ohio, and new hampshire is a toss up. bob: why he is going there? >> h

that confident tonight? >> at the end of the day it all comes down to turnout. in a state like nevada, more than 70% will vote by election day we have a 70,000 vote lead there. we have more than 100,000 vote advantage in the bank at this time. we signed up more than 6,600 volunteer shifts for the get out the vote program. it all comes down to turnout in the final hours. >> well, you have the turnout, it looks like. if these early voting hours have been cut, how much concern is that to you? >> well, we have a voter protection team on the ground and right here in chicago that took quick action in florida yesterday. miami-dade and palm beach announced early voting tomorrow. so we're going to make sure that everybody's vote counts. if you're in line, stay in line. we're going to make sure it happens through the final hours. >> the romney campaign says it has numbers showing that they're going to win ohio. is that a bluff? >> well, i think we heard a lot of bluffing from the romney campaign for days that says they have an intensity advantage on their side. look no further than the fact that mitt romn

for democrats. virginia, montana are important if the democrats could pick off arizona or nevada. but things have been breaking for the democrats the past couple of weeks, i think. >> brown: you haven't had a chance to talk about missouri. >> missouri is a very interesting state where democrats hadn't been earning more than 50% of the votes even when winning because there were other factors. and and there is a third party candidate helping her a little bit. one interesting thing about deb fisher, it's the first time nebraska is sending a woman to the senate. and in new hampshire, the associated press called the democratic governor won there. she will be the only female democratic governor in the country next year because she's won. >> yes. >> brown: is that something you didn't know? did we stump you? >> there is a sitting woman democratic governor right now, but she chose not to seek reelection in north carolina. >> right, so in 2013. >> brown: and back to you, glen and judy. >> ifill: we find it very interesting to see how all this is shaking out partly because we see what's happening on t

they went to nevada, colorado, iowa, wisconsin, ohio, virginia and new hampshire and these are the ones who have been the surrogates with mrs. obama, no, my husband is not a cold fish. we have dinner every night with the kids. you should know him. you should see that smile. i love him. you should love him. mrs. romney who is very close to her husband in the strategy, she plays a bigger role than just being the wife of, she is the one who said, he is not a stiff man. look at us. and, by the way, you talked about the grandchildren. there are 18 grandchildren. 13 of them are boys. >> all right. let us put that to the decision desk and see what that means. okay, barbara, stand by, team. we know you have so much more you're eager to say and we'll take a break at election night headquarters 2012 reporting on one of the great nights in democracy, one of the great privileges it is to vote as the polls still are open and a lot of this country projections come in and we have more, of course, to report on what social media is saying when we come back. >> announcer: multitouchscenes courtesy of microso

in nevada and colorado. nevada is a pathway to 270 without ohio. i think the post-mortem on this is that -- if the republicans don't win, a look a thow they dealt with the latino vote and the language they used and the perception that is created. the latino vote is one of the pillars of the obama strategy. and a big turnout like the president said -- this is a reason why he wins. he was playing the analyst and acts like he doesn't do it publically. >> the best visual we've seen about the changing face of american politics -- the percentage of the vote white voters make up. it is down 3-4 points each election adn this will continue a long time. it was a reality they could blow off but they can't win without improving those numbers. >> you saw rubio try to do that -- >> and -- it was such a moment. really. and if we see, if republicans are serious about that, they will get serious about immigration reform. >> i will make a prediction if romney doesn't win. this is the last time we see a major party ticket with two white men on it. it will be almost automatic you have

view, alex, is that the western states of nevada and colorado with a huge hispanic vote and the support the president has from the hispanic community is a huge factor. in florida i can't predict. it's very close there. but it's up to the ground game. what i have seen, for instance, in florida the volunteers and campaigns of president obama four years ago it was mostly young people. this time it's more people, but young people, senior citizens, soccer moms, veterans, a larger turnout getting out that vote. and i think that's what's going to be decisive. >> you know what's interesting about the hispanic vote, there are 4 million more registered la kn tee knows. but i want to ask about your state. how do you think the president is going to perform in swing states like colorado and nevada? >> well, my view is that that hispanic vote, which is key in my state with 43%, it's key in nevada and colorado upwards of 20%, is going to come out in huge turnout because of the president's strong records are hispanics on job creation, health care, and immigration reform. and the perception that the rom

battleground states pretty much in the bag. they think nevada, wisconsin, iowa, and new hampshire are all pretty much in the president's column. they feel like ohio is almost certain to go for them. and that, obviously, would give them more than 270 electoral votes there. they think they are a little ahead in virginia. i feel pretty confident about virginia, they think colorado and florida are -- they think colorado and florida are pure toss-ups right now. they could win those, they might lose them and as i said, north carolina's the only one of the nine battleground states where they are pessimistic, but the rest they feel good about. and when you think about that altogether, that's why they feel really self-assured they're going to win the electoral college tonight if not the popular vote. >> can you imagine? to finish out the two tiny villages in new hampshire, 23 votes for president obama, nine for romney, and tonight, the polls begin closing in eastern in kentucky at 6:00 eastern time. our first big clue on how the election might unfold will come at 7:00 when the polls close in anoth

on this map is go ahead and take a look. you can see california has 9.7% unemployment. nevada has 11.2%. florida has 8.6%. you can go dive in on a state-by-state level as well. finally we've also got a lot of demographic data in here. this, for example, is a breakdown as how the country looks by ethnicity. the more pink, the larger hispanic population. new mexico has 46%. texas has 37%. these are just some of the data sets. whether it's demographic or economic or historical or a little bit of context that you like from the newshour so much. we'll be back. >> ifill: we'll be playing with those maps all night. we can't wait. all of those factors will play into state and local races across this country. back to jeff now now for a closer look at the house and senate contest on radar tonight. >> brown: still with me are christina bellantoni and stuart rothenberg. let's set the big-picture scene on the senate side. of course it's about control in both houses, right? >> sure, it is. at the beginning of this cycle, republicans felt confident that they might be able to win the necessary seats

hampshire and nevada. joining me here in ohio is john avlon. he has been traveling the state aboard the cnn election express bus. i'm also joined by john king in washington, d.c. the electoral college map, how does it add up right now? >> when you talk to the two campaigns, it's as if even though it's one country, they live in parallel universes. both saying they will win tomorrow. the president is ahead in most of the key battleground states. they are down confidence in the obama campaign and don't get too much dispute out of the romney campaign that they will win the state of nevada. then they come to the midwest where you are. they are most confident in the midwest they will carry again. i know republicans watching are saying they'll prove you wrong. they're confident about the state of iowa. that would get the president to 259. takes 270 win. when you ask them about these battleground states, they say they're most confidence about ohio, where you are. the president took that game over. no republicans won the white house without it, but say they're wrong about it. keep it a toss-up. if t

seats in play, and when we get out west, california, washington, nevada, something good could happen for them. but it's going to be hard for the democrats to take over the house. >> brown: there a particular one or two you want to keep your eye on especially tonight? >> a lot of the demographic data we're looking at democrats have area where's they can gain, perhaps later on down the line, arizona, texas, as sturks mentioned, florida is another one, where the democrats are look at making long-lasting gains. they're making new seats. california is another one we will be watching. what is the bigger picture when it comes to the type of members of congress? are these people extreme on one part or the other? the way the lines are drawn that can happen. if you draw a district with extreme democrat or republican, you can end up with extremes in congress. >> woodruff: mark, you were telling me you were off the set talking to somebody, picking up some information about how the vote is coming in. >> the turnout right now is that what tino voters are voting at the levels that the obama people

we're going to win wisconsin, nevada, new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> good morning. look at that, how beautiful. we are here. we are here. what are we, a day away? this is so exciting. good morning, everyone. >> he said it wasn't going to be close. and then he said it was going to be close. maybe he was talking about president clinton. >> it's monday, november 5th, the day before election day. we have with us mike barnicle, senior political analyst, mark halperin, willie's just walked in. i don't know why you're laughing. >> me? >> no, mike. >> this lighting is disturbing. i don't know who did it. i don't like it. i'm just going to say that right up front. but i'm happy this weekend -- today because this weekend there was a huge sporting event that all the world tuned to. and i can tell you i've never been more proud of the vanderbilt commodores, dudley stadium. >> no, they went on the road and did that. they went to kentucky, to commonwealth stadium. sure. 40-0, 5-4. mika, o

, but it think it will be tough to overcome the top of the ticket impact. >> stay out west in nevada, third congressional district. >> joe heck, the congressman, this is the type of district the democrats should be challenging in if they wanted to win the majority. this is suburban las vegas clark county district come place where democrats should be doing very well. and write the democrats are having a tough time going after joe heck. democratic nominee is john, a former leader in the statehouse, but what's interesting is even though he has the influential position in the state legislature from its after talking talking about his record as a firefighter. they're not even mentioning that he's a politician because that label is not one to want to have. answer right now joe heck has the advantage that if democrats are having a better night than we expect, they would need to do better in this type of district's. california is a solid blue state for the president. but a couple of interesting house races in that state. >> well, california normally as handicappers we can almost ignore the state ev

on me. >> nevada. >> nevada. close but to dean heller. >> all right. next one? >> ohio. it's closed up but brown wins. >> does he outperform the president by what, two points? >> i don't know. >> yeah, yeah. >> if you were to guess, it's going to be a tight race? >> florida, nelson beats mak. then we get to virginia. >> where are you there? >> i guess i would give kane maybe a tiny finger on the scale. >> give it to blue? >> i don't know. >> we'll put it there for now. that gets us through the presidential toss-ups. let's go to the red states if you will. these are a ton of great states. >> flake wins. >> montana, that's scary. everybody, both sides say it's really too close. >> the libtarian candidate is going to make the winning number. >> it could. >> i guess he gets a couple. this guy john tester up a point or two and the question is does that save him? let's do edge tester. >> all right. next one? north dakota right next door. >> berg wins. it's very very close. >> the same way you feel about montana. >> yeah. >> not quite as close. >> yeah. >> let's stick in the red states. nebra

, nevada, new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. it also could be close. but the firewall here of ohio, wisconsin, iowa -- >> talk to your stake holders. tell them what they should do on tuesday. >> if you can vote early, vote earlier. but don't just vote, bring your mom, your dad, bring your cousin, knock on the door of your neighbor. the middle depends on it. >> vice president joe biden, thank you for your time. good luck. >>> north carolina and colorado look pretty tough. coming up, where does the race stand? we have the results of the latest and last poll before the election. that's next. and we have our top people here tonight. chuck todd, howard fineman, eugene robinson and others. the big question is about big bill. if president obama does win re-election tuesday night, the person he can thank the most perhaps probably is the guy he was campaigning with in new hampshire, bill clinton, the big dog could be the one who pulls him over the finish line. >>> and guess who on the romney team is bad mouthing chris chris

of nevada. north carolina group known as alley pack plans to file a complaint that illegal immigrants are being allowed to vote. in a letter to nevada's secretary of state, they claim illegals are intentionally being register to do pressured to vote. they go on to say if not for this process, democratic senate majority leader harry reid would have never been relie detectorred back in 2010 -- elected in 2010. no comment from the secretary's office. >>> on the benghazi, libya terrorist attack, sources say the white house had to see the classified cable warning or consulate could in the defend against coordinated attack. one former top intelligence official says, quote, the national security council sees everything. if libya was of interest to this administration, the staff saw it. the cable was sent to the office of secretary of state hillary clinton august 16, less than one month before the attack. >>> frustrated drivers still waiting for hours in gas lines that don't move. to make matters worse, triple a says gas in new york city went up by an average of 9 cents a gallon. there has be

in the evening. romney campaign has set aside the emphasize on iowa and nevada where the president had a bit of an edge in the polls. they are particularly focused on colorado. romney campaign thinks colorado could be the opportunity west of the mississippi to pick up a key battleground state mountain time and late because of how close it is. historically, neither candidate has been able to break out of the polls longer than any time in the history of modern campaign, this is the closest we have seen. the amount of money is exceeding anything anyone imagined and a doesn't possibility there could be more votes cast in this election than in 2008 shattering records in a razor close race. >>shepard: tell us of the 11th hour stops for romney. >>carl: not uncommon. done in 2008 and 2004 and romney is show he will work struggling for those to work going where he wants to defend an opportunity to win in ohio and perhaps a pickup in pennsylvania where the polls closed and the romney campaign sees this as a double opportunity. one, to score a win next to ohio. also, to score a win potentially if ohio

games. these early vote totals more than 70% of the votes are in the states of colorado and nevada. almost 40% in the state of iowa have voted right now. the president has been working at this for more than two years. governor romney modeling his ground game on the successful of george w. bush's ground game. both sides have invested a lot and have gotten it oa lot of it. >> secretary of state in ohio said that they view the candidates as house guests as they're eager to see leave. >>> later this morning, george stephanopoulos will be hosting the final edition of "this week" before the election. and on tuesday night, george, diane sawyer and the entire abc news political team will be at our election headquarters in times square all night long, it could be a long night as results come in. >> you can feel the excitement leading up to tuesday. >>> but believe it or not, there are other headlines to tell you about and ron claiborne is here for that. >>> two police officers in atlanta were killed in a helicopter crash last night while searching for a missing child. the helicopter went do

hampshire, new mexico, nevada. that's the pathway to victory for john mccain. >> here's something interesting as we know now. the president won all those states that mitt romney mentioned, tony. do you think the prediction is going to be a bit better this time around? >> it's not for -- i hope romney isn't making those kind of predictions today. predictions shouldn't be his business. it should be racing as fast as he can across the finish line. but look, campaigns are tough. this one is still really tight. a lot of these races are still really tight. and there are things that none of us know about. polls don't know what turnout is going to be on election day. that's always been traditionally incredibly difficult to predict. and that makes big differences. so we'll see. >> i want to talk about something that we are surprisingly talking about, karen. paul ryan, joe biden both of them hanging out in pennsylvania campaigning. a state that save for sandy and things that have happened with that perhaps relative to it it was considered a blue state. do you think the obama campaign's worr

in nevada and i look for victories in other states as well. >> thank you, we appreciate it. we'll be watching here all day tomorrow. and from -- >> i know you will. >> we will. from provisional ballots to one of the most famous swing counties in the u.s., we're talking battleground ohio. don lemon is there. he'll join me live from cincinnati with a sign that the political landscape there is changing yet again. but first, on the eve of election day, take a look at this, seems investors claimed the waiting game. the dow pretty flat at this hour. hour and a half away from the closing bell. you're watching "cnn newsroom." tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 when i'm trading, i'm so into it, tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 hours can go by before i realize tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 that i haven't even looked away from my screen. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 that kind of focus... tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 that's what i have when i trade. tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 and the streetsmart edge trading platform from charles schwab... tdd#: 1-800-345-2550 ...helps me keep an eye on what's really imp

in the early vote in several of them, including ohio, iowa, nevada, we've got a lead in colorado. we feel very good about where we are. >> david axelrod joining us this morning. thanks for being with us. we appreciate your time. >> thank you. >> you want to be sure to watch the rest of our cnn election team tonight when the first polls close at 6:00 p.m. eastern. you can follow the exact countdown in the lower left-hand side of your screen and as the clock ticks for those closing. there are other stories making news this morning. zoraida's got that for you. >> good morning. another key race to watch today former presidential candidate michele bachmann in the toughest battle of her political life. minnesota congresswoman is in a tight race with democratic challenger jim graves. in their final debate, bachmann defended her claims that muslim brotherhood operatives have infiltrated the federal government. >>> and a sign today that the northeast is slowly recovering from superstorm sandy. the national september 11th memorial at the world trade center site in new york city reopened today. it was cl

. virginia, pennsylvania, ohio, florida, iowa and nevada are all states that harbor a lot of swing voters. so folks here they want to make sure they encourage to vote democrat. >> the main thrust to all day long is to get out the vote obviously. we have been doing this for a while and today is crunch day so we want to get people ensure they are getting to the polls. >> reporter: now last night republicans were just as bessy at their headquarters in contracosta county trying to get the word out about mitt romney and they participated in phone banking and noticed a surge in republican enthusiasm. >> overnight, after that first debate, the energy level and volunteers have soared. and people have started to call and coming in and wanting to help. >> the election is very close. the polls are showing even in the race for rickey gillas within one point. >> reporter: republicans say a come from behind win is doable and they are hopeful and thefeeling among democrats that president obama needs to remain in office because they want him to finish what he started. now we are told here at the democratic h

. this is not colorado or nevada or mexico. nonetheless, hispanics in virginia, as in many of the other states, to be very heavily democratic. and so, to the extent they turn out, even if they are only 4% of the statewide votes in any given year, they can assist democrats. let me mention asian americans, because they have become increasingly important in virginia, even though they are a small percentage of the population and the registered population. in northern virginia in particular, they have become exceptionally active. they give a lot of money to candidates. they are predominantly democratic, although slices of the asian-american population, such as vietnamese americans, will support republicans. it goes to show that in a diverse population, virginia has become tremendously diverse. when i was growing up, the white turnout on election day was about 85% of the total. as i mentioned, it's low 70's today. that makes a giant difference. you can tell it in the election results. even a small slice of the population can have a big impact in a state that is increasingly diverse and increasingly

new hampshire, pennsylvania, wisconsin, iowa, colorado, nevada, any of those. >> five. >> in the 3-2-1 strategy be virginia is one of the three. if you don't win virginia, how much of a problem? >> they're blocked. that is the strategy -- a lot of the electoral strategy was to block romney in the 3-2-1. can they block him in ohio and win that? can they block him in virginia? if they win virginia or ohio, either one, starts to make it tough. unless some other -- you start to change the strategy. >> quickly, virginia must-win for romney? >> it would be great to win it. historically republican. the opposite strategy is not only focus on 3-2-1 but keep broadening the battlefield. wisconsin, pennsylvania, iowa, colorado, nevada, new hampshire, minnesota. states that come in to play at one time or another. and so you would never want to be only have, one group of states you want as many alternatives as possible. insurance policies if you will. >> so, space cowboys you can stand down for a moment and crumple numbers. calling your sources. bret, it's 3-2-1 or it isn't. >> bret: there you g

vote more than once. this is roxene reuben trying to vote twice. nevada woman cast a ballot on monday and tried to vote at another location later in the day. a worker turned her away after a routine check showed she had already voted. she has been charged with a felony. >> steve: maybe she forgot. meanwhile in massachusetts, a town they are using the word illegal is now illegal. the word was banned in the town of summerville when describing immigrants. the mayor outlawed the illegal word after a group of teenagers argued it was a hurtful term. instead the group wants the term to be used undocumented. the mayor says he wants summerville to be a city of hope for undocumented immigrants and legal immigrants around the world. >> brian: spanish passenger kicked off of her flight because of a book. airlines booted her off because she was breaking one piece of hand luggage rule. the book and scroll she was carrying couldn't fit in her bag. she claimed her credit card wasn't working so she couldn't pay the excess baggage fee. they defend their actions. >> steve: a book counts as one of the pi

in in the states of nevada and colorado. 40% of the vote in iowa. almost 40% of the vote in the state of ohio have already voted right now. the president has been working at this for more than two years. governor romney modeling his ground game on the successful run of president george w. bush in 2004. they say it's bush on steroids. so it's hard to say who has the advantage, but both sides have invested a lot and got a lot out of it. >> secretary of state in ohio say they view the candidates as houseguests as they're eager for them to leave. later this morning george will host the final edition of "this week" before the election. make sure to watch that. and on tuesday night, george, diane sawyer and the entire abc news political team will be at our election headquarters in times square all night long, and it could be a long night with full coverage as the results come in. >> you can feel the excitement leading up to tuesday. >> you can. >> all right. but believe it or not, there are other headlines to tell you about and ron claiborne is here for that. good morning, ron. >> good morning, everyone

,000 vote margin in nevada coming into election day. 66,000 in iowa. and more than 160,000 in the state of florida. but it all comes down to turnout today. we filled out 208,000 volunteer shifts. our folks are still going to be calling voters across the country reminding them to vote until the polls close on the west coast tonight. >> mitt romney has been going around saying if the president wins re-election, then america will face an apocalypse with the end of freedom and the collapse of our judeo-christian foundations, but if romney wins, the affordable care act is repealed, and dodd/frank is never implemented. that feels more like an apocalypse to me. >> well, i'm going to make the prediction that the apocalypse won't happen either way. i'll tell you what will happen. we've made so much progress in the past four years, and the president is going to continue to invest in things like education and research and development to create good paying jobs for the middle class and to reduce the deficit in a balanced way. he's going to make sure we end the war in afghanistan. if mitt romney get

westward to iowa, wisconsin, nevada, colorado, for it to be a relevant, plausible path for him to get to 270 electoral votes. i still think ohio, virginia and without florida, ohio and virginia probably don't matter. >> let's hope we're not bogged down in electoral challenges in florida and ohio with all the lines. >> a clean vote is what we want where everyone who wants to vote is able to vote. the most important thing. i also think a clean result, in that it's very clear one side or the other. you might not like the result, but it's clear more people voted and more electoral votes went to one of the two candidates. i think that's probably a good thing for whether you're a partisan on the left or right. >> don't forget, house races, senate races, governor races, ballot initiatives, a lot to vote for. take your time and vote. that does it for us on this edition on election day on andrea mitt he chel reports. next stephanie cutter and chris van hollen and my xlej subpoena here next. make sure you vote. we'll be here all day and night with results. we're going to try to stump some polit

? >> the president hitting wisconsin, colorado, nevada. romney in virginia. all you know by now important swing states. let's head to what's treated as the pivotal swing state and ohio. this is where ohio stands here. at least according to polls. this is the latest cnn poll of polls has the president with a three-point advantage over governor romney in the state of ohio. five days and counting. cnn's don lemon shows us how the ground game is going in the buckeye state. >> reporter: the front line on the ohio battleground cold, soggy and grey. but neither snow or sleet nor bad directions -- >> are you lost now? >> oh, yeah. >> shall keep the volunteers from their appointed rounds. why are you doing this? >> to support governor romney. >> reporter: when college sophomore and first-time sophomore isn't working or in class, he's driving. walking. is this your next one? >> yes. >> reporter: knocking. and talking to voters. >> when you're going to vote, if you're going to go in early or like -- on election day --' we are going on election day. >> reporter: it's cold, rainy. some people slam the door

of the night about colorado, iowa, some of the states in the west like nevada, perhaps. i think we will have a pretty good idea about what is happening early in the night and from there we will see whether the western states actually matter or not. >> i think that va is a very telling state. we focus on va a lot because it is right next door to washington, d.c. but the demographics are very similar to the rest of america. heavily democratic an urban area, nerve -- northern virginia, a very conservative, rural, southern virginia. the race and the demographics is similar to the country at large. the growing hispanic population. also a significant african- american population. if you want to look at a state that is very much epitomizes what the rest of the country is like, i think you look at a state like virginia which right now is pulling very close. if people want a good idea about which way things are headed, i think they should look at the results in virginia. >> any surprises? >> in the presidential race or anything? i think people need to keep an eye on pennsylvania right now. i have bee

are michigan and nevada and new mexico. the reason i believe that is if you read the distorted media polls, most of them start off with a far too many democrats and far too few republicans. the latest pew survey has a national margin of 3 points for obama has 4 points more democrats than republicans. but the gallup poll which is the most authoritative last week concluded that there were now three points more republicans than democrats in the country. so it's d-4 and the reality is r-3. so it's a 7-points distortion. so if you are showing romney losing by 3 he's running by 4. if you take the finding in the pew poll that republicans are 6% more likely to turn out than democrats. so instead of it being plus 7, instead of switching to it a romney win by 4, you now have a romney win by 6 or 7. and then you take the undecided vote which always goes against the i am couple bent. you allocate it 2 to 1 for romney you are talking about a win of 7-10 points. if you go through each of the states you can do a similar calculation. i don't want to exaggerate by saying 5 or more. but i think you will be

will visit nevada, colorado, iowa and ohio.during a stop in hollywood, florida sunday obama urgee the crowd to stick with him for four ore years. you've ggt a choice toomake. it's not just a choice betwwen it's a choice between two visionn oo ameeica. on the one hand you can choose to return to the top down policies that crashed our economy, or you can join me in building future that ffcusse on a strong and growiig middle class. (applause).at a rally ii clevelann sunnay, romnee said it'sstime for a change. put asiie all he speeches and all theeads and all the attacks, and look at the recordd because, you see, talk is cceap. but aarecord, it's real, and it's earned with realleffort. change is not mmasured ii words and speechess change is measured in achievements. so, let's llok at that record.a -n-n / o-r-c- internaatonal poll shows tte race t a dad heat. say they suppoot the preeident bbck the former overnor of massschusetts. i'm andrew spencer repootiig.-----end----- cnn.script----- 3several hot button issues arr have questions regarding the mmryland referendums... fox45 will air

votes he needs. all that leaves is nevada, colorado or iowa. the president ahead or tied in all three of the states. >> that's the situation that mitt romney is in. he's got a very narrow path to an electoral college victory. he has to draw an inside straight in this campaign to win it today. he has to do all those things and the path is still narrow to win this. >> matthew dowd, we'll see you tonight. >>> and this year, whether it's tweeting, facebooking or never mind e-mailing, social media has shaped this campaign like never before. it's a new frontier for both candidates. and voters and campaigns are able to reach each other through the click of a house. josh is at the big board with what everybody is searching for. and what the final campaigns want to leave us with. >> google searches usually give us a less-varnished look of what people are hunting for before they vote today. they're telling pollsters or their family and friends. let's look at the most searched-for election-related trends on google. not surprisingly, the first, where do i vote? latest polls, perhaps. early voting

. president obama held on in nevada. why? for years no primary challenge. remember, they spent money, they identified, they turned out all the latino voters. colorado, suburban voters, latino voters. the president held onto that one. you were impressed by it, they outhustled governor romney. they held onto iowa, a state governor romney was so confident they were going to get. the republican governor put registration at parody. the republicans thought they could get it. they got outhustled again. wisconsin, the paul ryan pick was not enough. state blue dna. >> scott walker won would have a shot. >> one lesson we learn second-degree that mid-term elections are not presidential elections. obama people said african-american turnout will come back and it did. latino would come back, and it did. this is what you end up with. all of the states i turned blue were states at one point or another the romney campaign felt comfortable and a few felt very comfortable about. president obama outhustled them and ran the board. the luxury of no primary, all that spending on turnout. but look, they wer

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